Best NBA prop picks November 1: Count on Gobert having his way

The NBA opens up November with a modest four-game slate, but there are still some intriguing prop betting opportunities.

The pregame narrative: Rudy Gobert should have his way with an inexperienced backup, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a chance to exploit an undermanned backcourt and Bam Adebayo should thrive against a Golden State Warriors team that struggles with bigs.

Check out our best NBA prop picks for November 1.

Odds as of 11:21 a.m. ET on 11/01/2022.

NBA prop picks

[Best Bet] : Gobert over 29.5 point+rebounds+assists (+102)

Although Gobert’s Minnesota Timberwolves tenure is only seven games old, he seems to fit his new team nicely.

The Stifle Tower leads the NBA in rebounds per game (14.7) and is getting more shots up (9.4) than he ever has in his career. His field goal percentage (61.1%) is a little low by his standards, but that should probably be chalked up to variance as all of his looks are coming at the rim, as per usual.

We like Gobert to clear this line on Tuesday because of a plus matchup with the Phoenix Suns. Under normal circumstances, DeAndre Ayton could give the Frenchman problems, but with Ayton out Gobert will go against Jock Landale.

Landale is a 27-year-old with one NBA start under his belt who went undrafted in 2018. The experience and talent gap between the Australian and Gobert is massive.

While the veteran rarely puts up massive point totals, he’s got an excellent chance to cook the inexperienced Landale on the offensive and defensive glass — in part due to his two-inch height advantage.

Gobert’s PRA average this season is right around this line total (29.8) and he should be able to do slightly better against favourable competition.

Key stat: Gobert has cleared this line in four of his seven games this season.

Quick picks

(-127): This is an ambitious line for most players, but it’s one that Gilgeous-Alexander has hit in four of his five games this season.

The 24-year-old is averaging 23.8 shots per game thus far, with 6.0 free throw attempts. That massive volume presents a relatively easy path to massive scoring totals, and he’s got a soft matchup on Tuesday against an Orlando Magic team missing four of its top six guards — including both starters.

(-110): This line demands that Adebayo exceed his season average (17.4), but that makes sense considering his opponent.

The Golden State Warriors have conceded the most points per game in the NBA to centres (30.5) and power forwards (27.7). They are likely to be vulnerable to Adebayo’s physicality down low.

The Miami Heat star already faced the Warriors once this season and produced a season-high 26 points.


Nick Ashbourne writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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