When scanning the MLB prop bet markets these days, it’s hard to look past Shohei Ohtani.
The pregame narrative: The two-way superstar is featured in our best bet for the night thanks to a reasonably priced bases prop that he’s cleared with impressive regularity. We’re also backing the red-hot Ketel Marte to continue rolling, and we’re eyeing a plus-money play involving two players in the Cubs/Phillies matchup.
Check out our picks and the betting odds in our best MLB prop bets for June 28.
MLB odds as of 1:39 p.m. ET 06/28/2023.
MLB prop bets
Best Bet : Ohtani over 1.5 bases (-120)
At some point, Ohtani’s otherworldly offensive tear will come to a halt, or at least slow down a bit. But we aren’t counting on that happening tonight.
Ohtani has a nice track record against White Sox starter Lucas Giolito in their previous matchups against each other: 7-for-23 (.304) with some punishing blows — a double, a triple and three home runs.
With the way things are going for Ohtani lately, one swing of the bat could very easily get us on the right side of this bases prop.
The overwhelming AL MVP favourite has homered 11 times in his past 20 games, adding five doubles and a triple in that span. In other words, he’s averaging almost one extra-base hit per game right now.
Describing a player’s output as video-game numbers is often just a tired cliché, but it really does look like Ohtani is playing MLB The Show on rookie mode.
He’s gone over 1.5 bases in 18 of his past 22 games, posting a .412/.500/1.000 slash line in that span.
All of that is to say a -120 price on Ohtani to clear 1.5 bases looks great to us. Giolito is having a very good month (1.50 ERA, .191 opponent batting average in four starts), but it’s been nowhere near as good as Ohtani’s.
Key stat: Ohtani has a 1.072 OPS against righties this year, and 21 of his 28 homers are against RHPs.
Nola 6+ Ks, Happ under 1.5 bases (+116): The Cubs have the ninth-highest strikeout rate in the majors (24.1%), and Aaron Nola fanned 10 when he faced them earlier in the year. Asking him for just over half that volume tonight seems more than fair.
In fact, dating back to 2021, Nola has 26 Ks over 19.0 innings against the Cubs and has cleared this line each time.
We’re backing Nola while fading one of his adversaries, Ian Happ, who is 0-for-12 with five Ks against the Phillies starter. Here’s hoping for more of that futility from Happ tonight.
Marte over 0.5 runs (-104): Arizona’s No. 2 hitter has made a habit of driving himself in, homering in five of his past seven games.
Whether he does it again tonight or gets a boost from someone else, we like the value here on Marte’s run prop.
Dating back to late May, Marte has scored 34 runs in 27 starts — cashing this prop all but four times. He has a .429 on-base percentage in that span, so the opportunities have been plentiful.
Looking to get started? Sign up here.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.