NBA prop picks January 8: Fade Murray against tough competition

The NBA is ending its week strong, serving up a nine-game slate stacked with prop betting opportunities.

The pregame narrative: Dejounte Murray could struggle against a Los Angeles Clippers team with an elite defence, Kevin Porter Jr. is rolling and Lauri Markkanen has a tough task ahead of him on the glass.

Find all our best NBA props picks for January 8 below.

Odds as of 12:35 p.m. ET on 01/08/2023.

NBA prop picks

Best Bet : Dejounte Murray under 31.5 PRA (-105)

This line is set just below Murray’s season-long PRA average (32.1), but there are plenty of reasons to believe he’ll fall short on Sunday.

The first is that he’s consistently done so since returning from an ankle injury, hitting this under in six of nine appearances since a five-game absence.

It’s tough to know how much that’s still affecting him, but it’s clear that his opponent’s defensive ability will.

The Clippers allow the fourth-fewest points per game in the NBA (110.2), and they are also tough on the glass with the league’s eight-best rebounding rate (50.7%). That makes them a tough team to hit your PRA over against, which is especially true if you’re a shooting guard like Murray.

Per FantasyPros, Los Angeles allows the second-fewest points per game and sixth-fewest assists to shooting guards.

The Clippers are a little more vulnerable on the boards ranking 16th, but Murray is in the midst of a career-worst year on the glass and is unlikely to punish them there.

Key stat: Murry has a PRA average of 29.9 in his last 18 games, hitting this under 11 times.

Quick picks

Porter Jr. over 20.5 points (-108): Porter is known for his streakiness, and he’s in the middle of one of his hot streaks right now. The speedy point guard has hit this over in six of his last nine games, averaging 22.7 points during that span.

He’s also got a solid matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Thanks to the presence of Rudy Gobert, Minnesota can take care of business down low, but the team struggles with points guards like Porter.

According to FantasyPros, the Timberwolves concede the seventh-most points to PGs in the NBA on a per-game basis.

Lauri Markkanen under 7.5 rebounds (-110): Markkanen has been making plenty of headlines with his scoring lately, but his work on the glass has been less impressive.

The breakout scorer has fallen short of this line in seven of his last 12 games, and he’s got a rough matchup on Sunday. Markkanen has to deal with the Memphis Grizzlies — the NBA’s rebounding percentage leaders — on the second leg of a back-to-back.

The Grizzlies have been resting since Thursday night, which will make them a lot to handle for Markkanen’s tired legs.


Nick Ashbourne writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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